The Ron Paul Effect: How the GOP Threw the Election By Disenfranchising Ron Paul Supporters

 

By disenfranchising Ron Paul supporters, Mitt Romney won the primary but lost the election. 

New analysis reveals that in no less than five states, Romney’s margin of loss to President Obama in the general election was less than the number of votes received by Ron Paul in that state’s primary.

State

Obama Votes

Romney Votes

Romney Loss Margin

Paul Primary Votes

Electoral Votes

Connecticut

128,251

120,637

7,614

8,032

7

Florida

4,141,618

4,094,952

46,666

117,461

29

New Hampshire

366,089

325,668

40,421

56,872

4

Ohio

2,691,861

2,584,620

107,241

113,256

18

Virginia

1,868,191

1,767,692

100,499

107,451

13

In Florida, for example, Obama defeated Romney by 46,000 votes; meanwhile, Ron Paul received over 117,000 votes in the primary. If only 40% of these Ron Paul Republicans stayed home on Election Day, it would have been enough to cost Romney the state and its 29 electoral votes.

A similar case can be made for Connecticut, New Hampshire, Ohio, and Virginia. Along with Florida, these five states account for a whopping 71 Electoral College votes. Remember that Obama earned 332 electoral votes compared to Romney’s 206. Had Romney won these five states, they would have been sufficient to give him a narrow 277-261 victory over the President.

Admittedly, the number of Paul votes and Romney’s loss margin are closer in the other four states than they are in Florida. In New Hampshire, 71% of Paul votes are needed to make up the margin, while in Ohio and Virginia, that number is closer to 95%.

Read more: http://www.policymic.com/articles/18815/the-ron-paul-effect-how-the-gop-...